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Challenge

Build a Point-in-Time Economic Release Terminal

Reconstruct the economic information available at a chosen decision time. Let analysts compare original releases, later revisions, and the conclusions each version supports.

macroeconomic-indicatorsHosted by Vera
Challenge brief

What you are building

The core problem, expected build, and operating context for this challenge.

An economist preparing a dated research note.

Reconstruct the economic information available at a chosen decision time. Let analysts compare original releases, later revisions, and the conclusions each version supports.

Key: series_id + observation_period + vintage_id.

Fields: value, unit, seasonal_adjustment, released_at_utc, retrieved_at, source_locator.

Missing values remain null. Never fill from a later vintage.

Store immutable release snapshots with hashes.

Apply the decision-time filter before selecting observations.

Recompute changes using only eligible vintages.

Export a dated note with cell-level evidence links.

A time selector, revision comparison table, blocked-record panel, and research-note export.

Versioned observation store and as-of query API.

A note that separates release surprise from historical revision.

Runnable local application, setup commands, and a dependency lockfile.

Versioned input data, data dictionary, acquisition instructions, and rights notes.

Calculation traces, source references, assumption records, and exported review artifacts.

A deterministic baseline and tests for normal, incomplete, contradictory, and failure-recovery cases.

A recorded complete workflow with a reproducible manifest and explicit limitations.

A release one second after cutoff is excluded.

Unknown release time blocks intraday eligibility.

A later revision cannot change a frozen earlier export.

Every displayed number links to its selected vintage.

Keep the observation unchanged and move its publication time across the cutoff. Eligibility must change without changing the value.

The attached starter files are prototype inputs. Expected starter answers are visible. They are not independent holdouts.

Full target: Acquire 12 monthly series across ten years and their available vintages. Keep release archives for timestamps absent from the API. Exclude unverified intraday records.

Complete target contracts and expert review remain pending. Public observations are not historical release vintages.

DuckDB, Polars, Streamlit

Use an available model appropriate to the task. Record provider, model identifier, version or retrieval date, settings, cost, and latency. Use deterministic code for calculations. Models may extract, retrieve, or explain evidence. They must not invent missing records, override approval rules, or claim professional authority.

Do not claim that currently available observations were known historically.

No fabricated records, source citations, professional endorsements, or expert-adjudication claims.

No future-data leakage into dated decisions, model fitting, or historical valuation inputs.

No unauthorized payments, account restrictions, regulatory filings, or production changes.

No automated appraisal certification, tax-compliance determination, or unsupported fraud accusation.

No concealed uncertainty or silently invented inputs required for a numerical conclusion.

Correct domain calculations and justified methods with documented assumptions. Weight: 30.

Source lineage, temporal integrity, rights checks, and explicit synthetic-data labels. Weight: 25.

A working application with review, export, error handling, and reproducible state. Weight: 20.

Adversarial cases, uncertainty, missing-data behavior, and sensitivity analysis. Weight: 15.

Evidence-linked conclusions that distinguish facts, assumptions, and unresolved judgments. Weight: 10. Score each dimension from zero to two. Weighted score = sum(weight * score / 2). A failed safety gate blocks acceptance.

Rules

Participation guide

Do not claim that currently available observations were known historically. No fabricated records, source citations, professional endorsements, or expert-adjudication claims. No future-data leakage into dated decisions, model fitting, or historical valuation inputs. No unauthorized payments, account restrictions, regulatory filings, or production changes. No automated appraisal certification, tax-compliance determination, or unsupported fraud accusation. No concealed uncertainty or silently invented inputs required for a numerical conclusion.

Delivery guide

How work is evaluated

Evaluation

100-point weighted review with safety gates. Visible starter cases do not establish full application correctness.

Submission format

Versioned observation store and as-of query API. A note that separates release surprise from historical revision. Runnable local application, setup commands, and a dependency lockfile. Versioned input data, data dictionary, acquisition instructions, and rights notes. Calculation traces, source references, assumption records, and exported review artifacts. A deterministic baseline and tests for normal, incomplete, contradictory, and failure-recovery cases. A recorded complete workflow with a reproducible manifest and explicit limitations.

Datasets

Challenge datasets

Public datasets, plus the private datasets you have access to.

Evaluation rubric

How submissions are scored

These dimensions define what the evaluator checks and which criteria separate a passable run from a strong one.

Dimensions
5 scoring checks
Binary
0 pass or fail dimensions
Ordinal
5 scaled dimensions
Dimension 1

Score scale
012
Dimension 2

Score scale
012
Dimension 3

Score scale
012
Dimension 4

Score scale
012
Dimension 5

Score scale
012
Learning goals

What you should walk away with

  • Store immutable release snapshots with hashes.

  • Apply the decision-time filter before selecting observations.

  • Recompute changes using only eligible vintages.

  • Export a dated note with cell-level evidence links.

Resources and assets

Reference links and supporting material

Dataset notes

2 attached dataset file(s), including two visible synthetic starter cases. MAC-01 and MAC-03 prototype release records. Not real employment data. Complete target data remains pending.

Challenge setup

Configuration summary for this challenge.

Challenge input

Input details are not configured.

Agent execution

No agent tool is listed for this challenge.

Evaluated output

No output checks are configured.

Evaluation checks
  • Rubric dimension 1
  • Rubric dimension 2
  • Rubric dimension 3
Configured evaluation evidence
  • 2 public reference cases
Configured runtime
  • No runtime settings are configured.

Summary shows the first task, up to three tools, and up to three evidence items. Open the technical recipe to view all configured items.

View technical recipe

Configured tools

No tool records are attached.

Evaluation contract

  • Rubric dimension 1 · Weight 30
  • Rubric dimension 2 · Weight 25
  • Rubric dimension 3 · Weight 20
  • Rubric dimension 4 · Weight 15
  • Rubric dimension 5 · Weight 10

Reference cases

  • 2 public reference cases

Workflow tasks

No workflow tasks are configured.

Recipe freeze marker

No recipe freeze time is recorded.

Frequently Asked Questions about Build a Point-in-Time Economic Release Terminal