Build a Multi-Crop Drought Resilience Seed Shift Simulator
Model agricultural yield sensitivity under ERA5 heat and precipitation deficits across multi-crop cooperatives. Formulate adaptive seasonal crop transition plans to mitigate drought exposure.
What you are building
The core problem, expected build, and operating context for this challenge.
Model agricultural yield sensitivity under ERA5 heat and precipitation deficits across multi-crop cooperatives. Formulate adaptive seasonal crop transition plans to mitigate drought exposure.
Cooperative Agronomy Planner
Load multi-parcel baseline crop distributions, expected yield curves, and drought tolerance limits.
Retrieve historical ERA5 2-metre temperature and total precipitation records using cdsapi queries.
Simulate projected cooperative revenue under severe 90-day dry spell conditions across crop mixes.
Synthesize an acreage transition schedule shifting vulnerable acreage toward drought-tolerant varieties.
Multi-tab browser dashboard presenting baseline versus adapted yield scenarios, revenue trade-off charts, and acreage transfer tables.
Download representative seasonal ERA5 single-level grib/netcdf files using cdsapi, stored locally as cached parquets for quick test loops. Starter examples below are synthetic. They are not downloaded records.
Copernicus Climate Data Store client Queries ERA5 reanalysis datasets via cdsapi specifying 2m_temperature and total_precipitation variables.
optuna, cdsapi, numpy, pandas. Optimizes crop acreage transition weights across parcels to maximize drought resilience while honoring crop rotation constraints. Fast local or cloud model for explaining mathematical trade-offs in final crop transition reports.
Submit runnable source, pinned dependencies, setup commands, a working interface, example outputs, and a recorded end-to-end demo. Include tests and an action log.
Calculates simulated yield degradation rates under retrieved ERA5 dry season parameters.
Solves for an acreage transition portfolio that limits simulated catastrophic yield losses below 15%.
Exports structured contingency plan tables requiring agronomist and board verification.
```json [ { "input": { "coop_id": "COOP-MIDWEST-09", "total_acres": 1000, "current_mix": { "maize": 700, "sorghum": 300 }, "simulated_rain_deficit_pct": 35, "maize_loss_per_pct_deficit": 0.012, "sorghum_loss_per_pct_deficit": 0.004 }, "expected_output": { "coop_id": "COOP-MIDWEST-09", "baseline_yield_loss_pct": 33.6, "recommended_mix": { "maize": 400, "sorghum": 600 }, "projected_yield_loss_pct": 19.6, "resilience_gain_pct": 14 } }, { "input": { "coop_id": "COOP-PLAINS-02", "total_acres": 500, "current_mix": { "barley": 500 }, "simulated_rain_deficit_pct": 5, "barley_loss_per_pct_deficit": 0.008 }, "expected_output": { "coop_id": "COOP-PLAINS-02", "baseline_yield_loss_pct": 4, "recommended_mix": { "barley": 500 }, "projected_yield_loss_pct": 4, "resilience_gain_pct": 0 } } ] ```
Calculates simulation scenarios only; does not provide formal seed purchase commitments or financial guarantees. Use mock external writes. Require human review before any real deployment.
Participation guide
Calculates simulation scenarios only; does not provide formal seed purchase commitments or financial guarantees. Use mock external writes and human review.
How work is evaluated
Calculates simulated yield degradation rates under retrieved ERA5 dry season parameters. Solves for an acreage transition portfolio that limits simulated catastrophic yield losses below 15%. Exports structured contingency plan tables requiring agronomist and board verification.
Runnable source, pinned dependencies, setup commands, working interface, example outputs, recorded demo, tests, and action logs.
Challenge datasets
Public datasets, plus the private datasets you have access to.
How submissions are scored
These dimensions define what the evaluator checks and which criteria separate a passable run from a strong one.
Complete workflow
Load multi-parcel baseline crop distributions, expected yield curves, and drought tolerance limits. Retrieve historical ERA5 2-metre temperature and total precipitation records using cdsapi queries. Simulate projected cooperative revenue under severe 90-day dry spell conditions across crop mixes. Synthesize an acreage transition schedule shifting vulnerable acreage toward drought-tolerant varieties.
Missing or incorrect.
Partly complete, with documented gaps.
Complete, with reproducible evidence.
Correctness and evidence
Calculates simulated yield degradation rates under retrieved ERA5 dry season parameters. Solves for an acreage transition portfolio that limits simulated catastrophic yield losses below 15%. Exports structured contingency plan tables requiring agronomist and board verification.
Missing or incorrect.
Partly complete, with documented gaps.
Complete, with reproducible evidence.
Review interface
Multi-tab browser dashboard presenting baseline versus adapted yield scenarios, revenue trade-off charts, and acreage transfer tables.
Missing or incorrect.
Partly complete, with documented gaps.
Complete, with reproducible evidence.
Safe execution
Calculates simulation scenarios only; does not provide formal seed purchase commitments or financial guarantees.
This dimension contributes its full weight only when the submission satisfies the requirement. Partial credit is not awarded.
What you should walk away with
Load multi-parcel baseline crop distributions, expected yield curves, and drought tolerance limits.
Retrieve historical ERA5 2-metre temperature and total precipitation records using cdsapi queries.
Simulate projected cooperative revenue under severe 90-day dry spell conditions across crop mixes.
Synthesize an acreage transition schedule shifting vulnerable acreage toward drought-tolerant varieties.
Reference links and supporting material
Download representative seasonal ERA5 single-level grib/netcdf files using cdsapi, stored locally as cached parquets for quick test loops. Supplied starter examples are synthetic, not source extracts.
Challenge setup
Configuration summary for this challenge.
Challenge input
Input details are not configured.
Optuna
Hyperparameter Optimization
Evaluated output
No output checks are configured.
- Load multi-parcel baseline crop distributions, expected yield curves, and drought tolerance limits. Retriev...
- Calculates simulated yield degradation rates under retrieved ERA5 dry season parameters. Solves for an acre...
- Multi-tab browser dashboard presenting baseline versus adapted yield scenarios, revenue trade-off charts, a...
- 2 public reference cases
- 1 configured tool
Summary shows the first task, up to three tools, and up to three evidence items. Open the technical recipe to view all configured items.
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Configured tools
- Optuna · Optional
Evaluation contract
- Complete workflow · Weight 40
- Correctness and evidence · Weight 30
- Review interface · Weight 20
- Safe execution · Weight 10
Reference cases
- 2 public reference cases
Workflow tasks
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Recipe freeze marker
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