Build a Hybrid Exit and Continuing-Company Allocation Planner
Combine explicit exit scenarios with a continuing-company option-pricing branch. Make conditional probabilities and class allocations visible so the two approaches do not count value twice.
What you are building
A company may exit or continue operating. Build a valuation model with one branch for each outcome, so the same value cannot enter both. In the starter, branch values of 8 and 2 with weights of 30% and 70% give 3.8. Set the exit probability to zero and verify that only continuing-company value remains.
Rules
A hybrid model requires a documented rationale. Its complexity alone does not improve reliability. No fabricated records, source citations, professional endorsements, or expert-adjudication claims. No future-data leakage into dated decisions, model fitting, or historical valuation inputs. No unauthorized payments, account restrictions, regulatory filings, or production changes. No automated appraisal certification, tax-compliance determination, or unsupported fraud accusation. No concealed uncertainty or silently invented inputs required for a numerical conclusion.
How work is evaluated
100-point weighted review with safety gates. Visible starter cases do not establish full application correctness.
A typed scenario tree and hybrid allocation calculator. A report explaining why each branch uses its selected method. Runnable local application, setup commands, and a dependency lockfile. Versioned input data, data dictionary, acquisition instructions, and rights notes. Calculation traces, source references, assumption records, and exported review artifacts. A deterministic baseline and tests for normal, incomplete, contradictory, and failure-recovery cases. A recorded complete workflow with a reproducible manifest and explicit limitations.
Datasets
Public datasets, plus the private datasets you have access to.
How submissions are scored
Learning goals
Build a mutually exclusive scenario tree.
Apply the appropriate allocation method within each branch.
Aggregate present-valued class outcomes using branch probabilities.
Export a tree-level reconciliation and method comparison.
Resources
2 attached datasets, including two visible synthetic starter cases. The fixture ZIP supplies synthetic exercise inputs. It does not supply independently verified real-world records.
Challenge setup
Challenge input
Input details are not configured.
Agent execution
No agent tool is listed for this challenge.
Evaluated output
No output checks are configured.
- Rubric dimension 1
- Rubric dimension 2
- Rubric dimension 3
- 2 public reference cases
- No runtime settings are configured.
Shows the first task, up to three tools, and up to three evidence items.
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Configured tools
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Evaluation contract
- Rubric dimension 1 · Weight 30
- Rubric dimension 2 · Weight 25
- Rubric dimension 3 · Weight 20
- Rubric dimension 4 · Weight 15
- Rubric dimension 5 · Weight 10
Reference cases
- 2 public reference cases
Workflow tasks
No workflow tasks are configured.
Recipe freeze marker
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