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Challenge

Build a Coastal Windstorm Parametric Uncertainty Analyzer

Evaluate parametric wind speed trigger ambiguity for coastal marine ports using ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis grids. Quantify trigger misclassification probability against synthetic station observations.

Data ScienceHosted by Vera
Challenge brief

What you are building

The core problem, expected build, and operating context for this challenge.

Evaluate parametric wind speed trigger ambiguity for coastal marine ports using ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis grids. Quantify trigger misclassification probability against synthetic station observations.

Marine Terminal Risk Consultant

Define port asset coordinates and wind threshold triggers in meters per second.

Retrieve ERA5 10-meter wind components using Copernicus CDS API scripts.

Compute maximum sustained wind speeds and calculate spatial interpolation errors.

Quantify trigger uncertainty distributions and publish terminal risk memos.

Interactive Python CLI and terminal plot view summarizing wind uncertainty distributions.

Execute CDS API calls for reanalysis-era5-single-levels wind variables or use synthetic NetCDF grid samples. Starter examples below are synthetic. They are not downloaded records.

Copernicus Climate Data Store client Sets up cdsapi.Client() configuration and calls cds.retrieve for atmospheric variables with spatial bounding.

ray-serve, cdsapi, numpy, scipy. Ray Serve enables distributed parallel evaluation of parametric trigger simulations across thousands of asset coordinates. Distributed compute cluster or multi-core local host for numeric simulations.

Submit runnable source, pinned dependencies, setup commands, a working interface, example outputs, and a recorded end-to-end demo. Include tests and an action log.

Computes horizontal wind vector magnitude from u and v components accurately.

Applies parametric trigger criteria with explicit confidence intervals.

Logs trigger sensitivity variances across neighboring grid points.

```json [ { "input": { "port_code": "PORT-EAST-01", "u10_m_s": 24, "v10_m_s": 18, "trigger_threshold_m_s": 28 }, "expected_output": { "port_code": "PORT-EAST-01", "wind_speed_m_s": 30, "trigger_exceeded": true, "trigger_confidence": 0.94 } }, { "input": { "port_code": "PORT-EAST-02", "u10_m_s": 15, "v10_m_s": 12, "trigger_threshold_m_s": 28 }, "expected_output": { "port_code": "PORT-EAST-02", "wind_speed_m_s": 19.21, "trigger_exceeded": false, "trigger_confidence": 0.99 } } ] ```

Produces parametric simulation sensitivity metrics without issuing contractual settlement determinations. Use mock external writes. Require human review before any real deployment.

Rules

Participation guide

Produces parametric simulation sensitivity metrics without issuing contractual settlement determinations. Use mock external writes and human review.

Delivery guide

How work is evaluated

Evaluation

Computes horizontal wind vector magnitude from u and v components accurately. Applies parametric trigger criteria with explicit confidence intervals. Logs trigger sensitivity variances across neighboring grid points.

Submission format

Runnable source, pinned dependencies, setup commands, working interface, example outputs, recorded demo, tests, and action logs.

Datasets

Challenge datasets

Public datasets, plus the private datasets you have access to.

Evaluation rubric

How submissions are scored

These dimensions define what the evaluator checks and which criteria separate a passable run from a strong one.

Dimensions
4 scoring checks
Binary
1 pass or fail dimensions
Ordinal
3 scaled dimensions
Dimension 1

Complete workflow

Define port asset coordinates and wind threshold triggers in meters per second. Retrieve ERA5 10-meter wind components using Copernicus CDS API scripts. Compute maximum sustained wind speeds and calculate spatial interpolation errors. Quantify trigger uncertainty distributions and publish terminal risk memos.

Score scale
012
Score 0

Missing or incorrect.

Score 1

Partly complete, with documented gaps.

Score 2

Complete, with reproducible evidence.

Dimension 2

Correctness and evidence

Computes horizontal wind vector magnitude from u and v components accurately. Applies parametric trigger criteria with explicit confidence intervals. Logs trigger sensitivity variances across neighboring grid points.

Score scale
012
Score 0

Missing or incorrect.

Score 1

Partly complete, with documented gaps.

Score 2

Complete, with reproducible evidence.

Dimension 3

Review interface

Interactive Python CLI and terminal plot view summarizing wind uncertainty distributions.

Score scale
012
Score 0

Missing or incorrect.

Score 1

Partly complete, with documented gaps.

Score 2

Complete, with reproducible evidence.

Dimension 4

Safe execution

Produces parametric simulation sensitivity metrics without issuing contractual settlement determinations.

Binary check

This dimension contributes its full weight only when the submission satisfies the requirement. Partial credit is not awarded.

Learning goals

What you should walk away with

  • Define port asset coordinates and wind threshold triggers in meters per second.

  • Retrieve ERA5 10-meter wind components using Copernicus CDS API scripts.

  • Compute maximum sustained wind speeds and calculate spatial interpolation errors.

  • Quantify trigger uncertainty distributions and publish terminal risk memos.

Resources and assets

Reference links and supporting material

Dataset notes

Execute CDS API calls for `reanalysis-era5-single-levels` wind variables or use synthetic NetCDF grid samples. Supplied starter examples are synthetic, not source extracts.

Challenge setup

Configuration summary for this challenge.

Challenge input

Input details are not configured.

Ray Serve

Action Space in the agent workflow.

Evaluated output

No output checks are configured.

Evaluation checks
  • Define port asset coordinates and wind threshold triggers in meters per second. Retrieve ERA5 10-meter wind...
  • Computes horizontal wind vector magnitude from u and v components accurately. Applies parametric trigger cr...
  • Interactive Python CLI and terminal plot view summarizing wind uncertainty distributions.
Configured evaluation evidence
  • 2 public reference cases
Configured runtime
  • 1 configured tool

Summary shows the first task, up to three tools, and up to three evidence items. Open the technical recipe to view all configured items.

View technical recipe

Configured tools

Action Space
  • Ray Serve · Optional

Evaluation contract

  • Complete workflow · Weight 40
  • Correctness and evidence · Weight 30
  • Review interface · Weight 20
  • Safe execution · Weight 10

Reference cases

  • 2 public reference cases

Workflow tasks

No workflow tasks are configured.

Recipe freeze marker

No recipe freeze time is recorded.

Frequently Asked Questions about Build a Coastal Windstorm Parametric Uncertainty Analyzer